Lecce vs Udinese Prediction 13 May 2024

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Lecce has not yet guaranteed their place in the Italian Serie A for the upcoming season prior to the 36th round, but they could do so in the next game. On the other hand, Udinese needs to win in order to escape the relegation zone. Consequently, there won’t be a definite favorite in Monday's match, and both teams will face significant challenges in their meeting at Via del Mare.

Team News

In every position, Lecce lacks players. Nevertheless, the only important injured players this season are Kaba and Banda, who have each played in more than 20 games. The first one was injured in April, and the second in March.

At least six Udinese players are recovering from injuries. Delofeu and Ebosse have been missing since last year. Toven and Lovric dropped out at the end of April. They play a significant role in the starting lineup as well.

Head-to-head meetings

For the past seven head-to-head games, Udinese has a slight advantage. However, the Bianconeri only managed a 1-1 draw at home against Lecce in the first round of the current campaign. Two or more goals were scored in just one of the last five H2Hs. Therefore, it makes sense to consider under 2.5 total goals for the upcoming meeting.

Trends

Udinese has conceded in 11 consecutive matches.
Lecce has scored less than 1.5 goals in 11 of the last 12 matches.
Udinese’s last ten of 11 matches produced over 1.5 goals.

Referee and fouls

Davide Massa will be the referee between these two teams. In the last 10 matches, he recorded 26.2 fouls, which is above average. Moreover, the referee showed 4.6 yellow cards. If we consider the whole season, he uses his whistle much less often - 23.93, but Massa remains strict with the players and issues an average of 5 warnings.

Lecce fouls quite a lot by Serie A standards - an average of 13 times. However, with so many violations of the rules, the team has only 2.1 yellow cards.

Udinese is very slightly behind in fouls - 12.7. Still, the team allows itself to be more aggressive on the field, receiving an average of 2.9 warnings.

A total of less than 5.5 yellow cards have been issued in 6 of Udinese's last 7 matches. The referee also might have an affect on the yellow card total being low, so the bet on Yellow Cards - under 5.5 looks optimal.

Corners

A total of more than 10.5 corners were awarded in Udinese’s 6 away matches in a row. At the same time, the team itself wins only 4.3 corners on average, and Lecce - 4.6. Therefore, it is worth adjusting the bet and taking Corners - over 9.5.

Team Reviews

Lecce is steadily picking up points at the end of the season. In the last seven matches, they suffered only one defeat, which was against AC Milan. There is every chance to pick up points again in the upcoming meeting. Moreover, Udinese has not won seven consecutive matches. Therefore, it is worth choosing an option that Lecce will not lose.

Udinese has not won for almost a month and scored one or fewer goals in five of their last seven matches. As a result, a trend has developed - Udinese have scored less than 1.5 goals in 13 of the last 14 matches. It seems reasonable to bet on Udinese to score under 1.5 goals, taking into account the previous five head-to-head games.

Editorial prediction

Lecce’s have scored under 1.5 goals in 11 of their last 12 matches, and the same trend happened in Udinese’s previous seven fixtures. In addition, a total of less than 2.5 goals were scored in 6 of the last 7 Udinese away matches in Serie A. There is no need to wait for a high scoring display in a match between two teams from the lower half of the standings. Therefore, we settled on a Total of under 2.5 goals.

*below the page you will find detailed statistics of the playing teams and trends in many other markets