Roma vs Milan Prediction 18 April 2024

Milan, having reached the ½ of the Champions League last year, is now aiming to make it to the semi-finals of the Europa League, where the chances of winning the trophy will be much higher. However, the "Rossoneri" are heading to the "Stadio Olimpico" in Rome after a defeat at home. Therefore, Roma, which has gained European experience over the last couple of seasons by reaching two finals, is considered the favorite of the pair.

Roma's infirmary lists two players, but there are no critical losses – the absence of Ndika and Azmoun will not significantly impact the "wolves". However, Cristante's absence due to an accumulation of yellow cards is a significant loss. Milan will be without two players – Pobega and Kalulu. The Italian has been injured since December, and the Frenchman has hardly played this season due to constant injuries. The absence of both will not pose major problems for the "Rossoneri".

Referee statistics. The match will be officiated by Szymon Marciniak. In his last ten matches, the Pole issued fewer than six yellow cards and not a single red card. The average number of fouls over the last 10 matches is 25, and over the last 100 – 26.

In matches involving Roma, an average of 23.4 fouls are committed, 12.2 of which are by the Romans themselves. Milan has a modest figure – 22 fouls per game, with 11.2 attributed to the "Rossoneri" themselves. Logically, Roma leads in yellow cards as well, averaging 2.5 "mustards", while Milan averages 2.2. Considering the statistics, one could bet on total cards under 6.5 at 1.5.

The opponents play in the same league, so they regularly encounter each other. Based on the statistics of personal meetings, a top sure bet can be found. Roma hasn't won at home in 6 out of the last 7 head-to-head meetings with these teams – the bet Milan will not lose is valued at an odds of 1.48.

Under De Rossi, Roma remains a serious opponent for any team, as proven match by match. The Romans continue to score a lot from corners, but they have significantly decreased in earning them. Roma takes fewer than 4.5 corners in 6 consecutive matches – a strong trend, from which one can bet on Roma's total corners under (4.5) at 1.57.

Milan lost at home, so they should play riskily away, with a clear focus on attack.During the analysis of the match, we found an exciting statistical indicator – Milan scores more than 1.5 goals away in 14 out of the last 15 matches. A bet on Milan's total goals over (1.5) is valued at a juicy odds of 2.36.

Having studied all the key aspects of the upcoming meeting, we concluded that the optimal option for placing a bet is shots on target - Milan total over(4.5) at 1.6.