Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction 28 April 2024

Before us is the central match of the 35th round of the English Premier League. Tottenham hosts Arsenal at the "Tottenham Hotspur Stadium" in London. Liverpool has already withdrawn from the championship race, is it the "Gunners'" turn next? Or will Arteta's team, having learned from the bitter experience of last season, continue to fight for the trophy with "City"?

Losses

On the Tottenham side, five players are injured. Forster, Sessegnon, Solomon, and Whiteman are reserves, whose absence will not affect the team, but Udogie – the main left-back is a significant loss. Richarlison's participation in the match is in question – an important attacking player who has been injured since the beginning of the month.

The visitors have no injuries at all. Only Timber will not play, who has recovered from a cruciate ligament tear but is still gaining form by playing for the youth team.

Head-to-head 

Matches between the teams usually turn out to be open. In only 1 of the last 5 meetings, the over total was not met. So it's definitely worth considering a bet on over (2.5) goals at 1.51.

As for dominance in the derby, it's certainly with Mikel Arteta. His Arsenal has not lost in 4 of the last 5 matches against the "Spurs". A bet that the "Gunners" will once again not know the bitterness of defeat is valued at a modest 1.27.

The referee and fouls

Michael Oliver will officiate the London derby – a referee who doesn't reach for a card at the first opportunity. The Englishman showed fewer than 4 warnings in 5 of his last 6 matches. The average number of yellow cards per season is 3.9, and fouls – 22.

Tottenham plays less roughly in home matches than away. The "Spurs" earn an average of 10.7 fouls and receive 1.9 yellow cards – nothing extraordinary.

Arsenal, even away, does not particularly like to play rough, as statistics show. On average, the "Gunners" commit 10.6 fouls per game and receive only 1.5 warnings – the lowest figure among all championship teams. Whether to expect a deluge of cards in the derby is a big question. Judging by the numbers, an optimal bet would be total yellow cards under (6.5) at 1.43.

Team overviews

Tottenham under Ange Postecoglou plays very riskily, so there are always plenty of moments at their goal. And importantly, even in matches against big opponents, the coach does not deviate from his principles.
Tottenham concedes in the 1st half in 5 consecutive Premier League matches – a strong trend that literally screams about the hosts' problems in defense. A bet on Arsenal to score in the 1st half is a great option at 1.59.

Arsenal keeps an excellent pace, and losing points for Arteta's team is simply contraindicated because "City" will not forgive this. And it's unlikely that the "Gunners" plan to do so after their recent thrashing of Chelsea.
Arsenal scores more than 1.5 goals in 12 out of the last 14 Premier League matches. If you believe in the visitors, a bet on two goals by them looks tempting at 1.59.

Editorial prediction

As already mentioned, the current Tottenham simply does not know how to play defensive football, for which the "Spurs" are often punished. The hosts will rush forward from the first minutes and will inevitably encounter a quick counterattack by the "Gunners". Tottenham concedes in the 1st half at home in 5 out of the last 6 Premier League matches. Therefore, we suggest playing Arsenal to score in the first 45 minutes at 1.59.

*further down the page you will find detailed statistics of the playing teams and trends for many other markets