Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Prediction 27 April 2024

The game between Atletico and Athletic, which will take place at the "Wanda Metropolitano" stadium, is definitely the central match of the 33rd round of the Spanish championship. Both teams are having a great season and fighting for the last spot that will allow them to participate in the Champions League next season. Despite being neighbors in the standings, the Madrid team is considered the clear favorite for the match (2.01 versus 4.10). Will Atletico be able to achieve victory in the upcoming showdown?

Injuries
The list of injured players at Atletico remains unchanged - Vitolo, Depay, and Lemar are still in the infirmary. The main center-back Stefan Savic has joined these players, who will miss the game due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
At Athletic, there is only one absence - the main defender Oscar De Marcos received a yellow card in the previous match against Granada and will not be able to help his teammates due to card accumulation. The participation of Yuri Berchiche is also questionable - in the last game, the defender left the field in the 70th minute due to an ankle injury.

Head-to-Head
This season, these teams have already met three times (once in the league, twice in the cup), and in all cases, Athletic celebrated victory. Furthermore, in none of the matches did the Madrid team manage to score against the opponent's goalkeeper - the "Basques" have not conceded a goal for over 270 minutes. Betting on Away win is available at 4.10.

Trends
- Atletico has not lost at home in 12 consecutive head-to-head matches in La Liga.
- Total under 2.5 goals has played in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches in La Liga.
- Athletic wins with a handicap of +0.5 in 7 out of the last 8 matches.

Fouls
Diego Simeone has completely changed his team's playing style: if Atletico played defensively for several seasons and disrupted opponents' attacks by any means, now they demonstrate attacking football and score a lot. As a result, the average number of rule violations has noticeably decreased - on average per match, Atletico commits 11.7 fouls and receives 2.3 yellow cards.
The players of Athletic Bilbao are known for their ability to disrupt opponent attacks even in the middle of the field - they commit minor tactical fouls without receiving yellow cards. Surprisingly, on average per match, the "Basques" violate rules 13.7 times but receive fewer yellow cards than players from the Madrid club (2.1 yellow cards). Considering the importance of the game for both teams, attention can be drawn to Total over 4.5 yellow cards.

Corners
Matches between these teams are quite spectacular and intense. The clubs do not focus on defense, preferring to take the initiative. Based on this, it is logical to assume that in the upcoming match we will see many dangerous moments, including corners. Moreover, in the seven previous head-to-head matches held at Atletico's home ground, consistently more than 9 corners were awarded. The bet "Corners - Total over (8.5)" is evaluated at 1.47.

Team Reviews
Atletico approaches the upcoming confrontation not in the best mood: first, the team was eliminated from the Champions League, losing to Borussia 2-4, and then unexpectedly lost to Alaves (0-2). However, these results should not be surprising - the Madrid team is stable only in home matches, while they tend to falter away. This is evidenced by a strong trend - Atletico has scored at least two goals at home in 5 out of their last 6 matches. Betting on "Atletico Total goals over (1.5)" is available at 2.02.
Athletic is in fantastic form, and hardly anyone would argue with that: in 2024, the "Basques" lost only to such strong opponents as Valencia (0-1), Betis (1-4), and Real Madrid (0-2). The main strength of this team is their attacking play: professionals are playing upfront who convert their chances with a high percentage. Thus, under Ernesto Valverde's guidance, they have scored at least one goal in 8 out of their last 10 matches (only Real and Barcelona managed to keep a clean sheet). Betting on another guest goal is available at 1.47.

Editor's Prediction
Despite Atletico showing quality football, the team may end the season without trophies. In order to somewhat brighten it up, the Madrid club needs to secure a place in the top 4 and ensure participation in the Champions League next season - Diego Simeone's charges are very close to achieving this goal. Considering that "Los Colchoneros" are one of the best home teams in the world and based on the results of their recent head-to-head matches (Atletico won 7 out of their last 8 head-to-head matches at home in La Liga), betting on "Atletico Win" at 2.01 should pay off.

Further down the page, you will find detailed statistics of the playing teams and trends on many other markets