Surface:

Red clay

Round:

Semifinal

02.05.24

19:30

WTA - 4

Ended

WTA - 2

Review

Prediction

Rybakina vs Sabalenka Prediction 2 May 2024

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Elena Rybakina

Aryna Sabalenka

6⁵

7⁷

Match Preview

In this semi-final duel of the Madrid Masters, Elena Rybakina - Aryna Sabalenka, sportbooks did not identify a clear favorite, which introduces some adjustments to our prediction. Will the world's second racket achieve revenge for the humiliating winter defeat in Brisbane (0-6;3-6)? A good question, to which an immediate definitive answer cannot be given.

Rybakina has turned into a real trophy-winning machine this season (3). Although she hasn't won any truly major competitions. The clay Masters was conquered by Elena only once in her entire career. Moreover, this happened last spring (Rome). After a challenging week in Stuttgart, the physical condition of the representative from Kazakhstan is far from ideal, which does not prevent her from demonstrating exemplary stress resistance time and again. Yesterday, the athlete won a crazy fight against Yulia Putintseva, managing to recover from two match points.

For Sabalenka, defending the title is also not easy, but game by game, she gradually progresses. After three exhausting battles, Aryna left no chance for Mirra Andreeva, which should give her a powerful boost of confidence in her abilities. For the Belarusian, the Spanish capital is a special place as she has won two trophies here. Moreover, in case of failure, the tennis player risks falling significantly behind Iga Swiatek in points. Therefore, she will definitely enter the decisive games with an excellent mood.

Personal meetings of the opponents

🎾Read the prediction for Elena Rybakina - Aryna Sabalenka to learn more about the match. Elena Rybakina and Aryna Sabalenka have contested 10 matches throughout their careers. Elena Rybakina has won 4 matches, while Aryna Sabalenka has won 6.

📈The most recent match was WTA Brisbane which took place on 07 January 2024, in which Elena Rybakina triumphed, and the results were as follows: 0:2 (0:6; 3:6).

📊Examining the average number of sets and games played in a match and the number of victories for these players will also be essential. Thus, the quantity of sets is 2.5, the number of games is 23.5. Player Elena Rybakina wins 1.3 sets and 11.9 games. In contrast, Aryna Sabalenka has a lead of 2 sets and 11.6 games.

Elena Rybakina: player overview

🎾This player's past 10 matches finished in 9 victories and 1 defeats. The player won the first set 8 times, whereas 2 times his opponent was triumphant.

📈The statistics for games show 24.1 played in the last 10 matches with 13.4 wins and 5.8 calculated by the number of first games won thus far.

📊Don't overlook the amount of 2-0 and 2-1 victories and defeats in the past 10 matches.

The number of winning matches:

2-0 - 4 matches with a win percentage of 44.4%;
2-1 - 5 wins with 55.6% as a win percentage.

The number of lost matches:

2-0 - 1 matches with a lost percentage of 100%;
2-1 - 0 matches with a 0% lost percentage.

🎾The player's statistics for 365 days:

Over the past 365 days, the player played 60 matches. The number of wins was 47 while the number of losses amounted to 13. The percentage of wins is 78.3%. In the first set, they managed to win 42 times but lost 18 times and the percentage of wins is 70%.

📈The amount of games played over the past 60 matches is 22.7. Winning an average of 13 games and 5.7 in the first game.

📊An interesting statistic is the amount of 2-0 and 2-1 triumphs and losses over the previous 365 days.

Amount of winning matches:

2-0 - 29 wins with a win percentage of 61.7%;
2-1 - 18 wins with percentage of 38.3%.

Amount of lost matches:

2-0 - 5 losses with 38.5% as a loss percentage;
2-1 - 6 losses with a loss percentage of 46.2%.

In other matches the score was other.

Aryna Sabalenka: player overview

Player statistics over the last 10 matches: 7 victories and 3 defeats. Over their last ten matches, they won the first set 6 times, but lost it 4 times.

In terms of games, statistics show 25.8 played over the past 10 matches with 14.1 in overall wins and 5.3 wins in the first game.

The amount of 2-0 and 2-1 victories and defeats across the past 10 matches:

The number of winning matches:

2-0 - 3 matches with a win percentage of 42.9%.
2-1 - 4 wins with 57.1% as a win percentage.

The number of lost matches:

2-0 - 0 matches with a lost percentage of 0%.
2-1 - 3 matches with a 100% lose percentage.

The player's statistics for 365 days:

Over the past 365 days, the player played 66 matches. The number of wins was 50 while the number of losses amounted to 16. The percentage of wins is 75.8%. In the first set, they managed to win 50 times but lost 16 times and the percentage of wins is 75.8%.

The amount of games played over the past 66 matches is 20.6. Winning an average of 11.9 games and 5.6 in the first game.

An interesting statistic is the amount of 2-0 and 2-1 triumphs and losses over the previous 365 days.

Amount of winning matches:

2-0 - 37 wins with a win percentage of 74%;
2-1 - 10 wins with percentage of 20%.

Amount of lost matches:

2-0 - 6 losses with 37.5% as a loss percentage;
2-1 - 9 losses with a loss percentage of 56.3%.

In other matches the score was other.

In this meeting, Rybakina looks slightly more preferable after all. The recent results of Sabalenka inspire slightly less confidence, and we believe that in crucial situations she will again be weaker. Victoria of Elena - the priority option for the match.