Surface:

Red clay

Round:

Semifinal

06.04.24

12:00

ATP - 67

Ended

ATP - 63

Review

Prediction

Kotov vs Carballes Baena Prediction 6 April 2024

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Pavel Kotov

Roberto Carballes Baena

Match Preview

In this 1/2 final match of the championship in Marrakech between Pavel Kotov and Roberto Carballes, the sportbooks did not identify an undisputed favorite, and our prediction, obviously, takes this detail into account. Both tennis players feel quite comfortable on the African clay. It should be noted, however, that in terms of playing style, they are completely different.

Kotov does not stop trying to win his first major title, which in itself commands respect. Due to emotional instability and a lack of dedication, Pavel began to show his true potential far from the start of his career. However, there is still plenty of time to make up for lost opportunities. Last fall, the Russian was close to triumphs on hard courts (Stockholm top-2 and Sofia top-4), and now he is showing magnificent tennis on clay as well. On these courts, the athlete has not lost a single set in three matches, which has allowed him to conserve a lot of energy for the decisive battles.

Carballes is not moving towards defending the trophy with too much confidence, but he does not deserve severe criticism either. Dropping out of the top hundred in the world ranking is definitely not in Roberto's plans, which keeps him on his toes. This week, the Spaniard had quite a struggle with Daniel Evans and Nicolas Moreno, leaving no chances for Matteo Gigante. Even the athlete's serve is working superbly (2 breaks and 2 double faults in the championship), which is an extreme rarity.

Pavel Kotov: player overview

🎾Player statistics over the last 10 matches: 4 victories and 6 defeats. Over their last ten matches, they won the first set 5 times, but lost it 5 times.

📈In terms of games, statistics show 26.1 played over the past 10 matches with 12.5 in overall wins and 4.7 wins in the first game.

📊The amount of 2-0 and 2-1 victories and defeats across the past 10 matches:

The number of winning matches:

2-0 - 3 matches with a win percentage of 75%;
2-1 - 0 wins with 0% as a win percentage.

The number of lost matches:

2-0 - 4 matches with a lost percentage of 66.7%;
2-1 - 1 matches with a 16.7% lose percentage.

In other matches the score was other.

🎾The player's statistics for 365 days:

Over the past 365 days, the player played 67 matches. The number of wins was 39 while the number of losses amounted to 28. The percentage of wins is 58.2%. In the first set, they managed to win 35 times but lost 32 times and the percentage of wins is 52.2%.

📈The amount of games played over the past 67 matches is 24.7. Winning an average of 12.6 games and 5 in the first game.

📊An interesting statistic is the amount of 2-0 and 2-1 triumphs and losses over the previous 365 days.

Amount of winning matches:

2-0 - 24 wins with a win percentage of 61.5%;
2-1 - 14 wins with percentage of 35.9%.

Amount of lost matches:

2-0 - 16 losses with 57.1% as a loss percentage;
2-1 - 10 losses with a loss percentage of 35.7%.

In other matches the score was other.

Roberto Carballes Baena: player overview

This player's past 10 matches finished in 4 victories and 6 defeats. The player won the first set 4 times, whereas 6 times his opponent was triumphant.

The statistics for games show 22.3 played in the last 10 matches with 10.3 wins and 4.5 calculated by the number of first games won thus far.

Don't overlook the amount of 2-0 and 2-1 victories and defeats in the past 10 matches.

The number of winning matches:

2-0 - 3 matches with a win percentage of 75%;
2-1 - 1 wins with 25% as a win percentage.

The number of lost matches:

2-0 - 4 matches with a lost percentage of 66.7%;
2-1 - 2 matches with a 33.3% lost percentage.

The player's statistics for 365 days:

Over the past 365 days, the player played 52 matches. The number of wins was 25 while the number of losses amounted to 27. The percentage of wins is 48.1%. In the first set, they managed to win 24 times but lost 28 times and the percentage of wins is 46.2%.

The amount of games played over the past 52 matches is 24.2. Winning an average of 12 games and 4.7 in the first game.

An interesting statistic is the amount of 2-0 and 2-1 triumphs and losses over the previous 365 days.

Amount of winning matches:

2-0 - 14 wins with a win percentage of 56%;
2-1 - 8 wins with percentage of 32%.

Amount of lost matches:

2-0 - 15 losses with 55.6% as a loss percentage;
2-1 - 8 losses with a loss percentage of 29.6%.

In other matches the score was other.

In this duel, in our opinion, Carballes looks slightly more favorable. Roberto has an impressive experience of performing at an elite level, and we believe that in baseline rallies, he will be more agile than Pavel. A victory for the Spanish representative is the optimal choice for the match.