Barbosa vs Kareckaite Prediction 4 May 2024

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Dione Barbosa

Ernesta Kareckaite

Match Preview

On May 5th, in the preliminary card of UFC 301, two promotion debutantes – Dion Barbosa and Ernesta Karikaite – will compete for the win. We recommend reading our prediction for their meeting. In the octagon, the opponents profess different styles. The Brazilian is good at grappling, while the Lithuanian is confident in her stand-up game. Let's take a closer look at both women and choose the best bet for the fight in the women's flyweight division.

31-year-old Brazilian Dion Barbosa has been fighting professionally since 2018. In 8 cage appearances, "The Witch" has secured 6 victories (3 by submission) with two losses. Despite her strong ground game, Dion's boxing level is far from perfect. One of her two losses was even by knockout, so against Karikaite, Barbosa should immediately go for the grappling.

The Lithuanian Ernesta Karikaite is 6 years younger than the Brazilian, but she started her professional performances not much later – in 2019. The nickname "Heavy-Handed" hints at the heavy punch Ernesta indeed possesses. And, unlike her upcoming opponent, the Lithuanian has never lost: 5 wins (2 by knockout) and a draw.

Both girls are making their debut in the world's strongest league, but unlike Barbosa, Karikaite does so with a zero in the loss column. We also like Ernesta's striking skills, and we believe that through aggressive work at distance, the Lithuanian will take this fight.