Milan vs Genoa Prediction 5 May 2024

In the 35th round of Serie A, Milan will host Genoa at the legendary "San Siro". The red and blacks have already secured their spot in the Champions League group stage. However, being knocked out of the Europa League means there's practically no sense in saving energy at the season's end.

Injuries
Milan's infirmary has suddenly become overcrowded. Until recently, it only included defender Kalulu and midfielder Pobega. And just in the last 10 days, forward Jovic, one of the main links in the midfield Loftus-Cheek, and the main goalkeeper Maignan have been added to the list. Additionally, midfielder Musah will miss the game due to suspension.

Defender Mati, midfielder Malinovskyi, and forward Messias: in April, one player from each line for Genoa landed in the infirmary. Moreover, due to surgery, the young forward Matturro will not be able to help the team.

Head-to-Head Meetings
Milan feels great in matches against Genoa: 8 out of the last 10 head-to-head Serie A meetings ended with a victory for the “Rossoneri”.
Genoa finds it extremely difficult to counter the Milanese team. In the last three meetings, they haven't scored against this opponent. The Genoa individual total less (0.5) is given an odd of 2.09.

Trends

• Milan scores at home in 17 out of the last 18 matches.
• Milan hasn’t lost at home in 7 out of the last 8 head-to-head meetings with these teams.
• Genoa hasn’t scored in 3 consecutive Serie A head-to-head matches with these teams.

Referee and Fouls
Alessandro Prontera is among the referees who allow teams to battle and do not disrupt the game's rhythm. In the last 10 matches, he has averaged 22 fouls and issued 2.8 yellow cards.

Even though Milan often plays aggressively, they foul much more often than their opponents. Pioli’s men do not hesitate to tackle and commit fouls 12.4 times per game on average, resulting in 2.3 warnings on average.

Genoa also regularly commits fouls, even slightly more often than Milan: 12.9 times per match. However, most of these are minor fouls that do not lead to consequences. As a result: only 13 "yellows" in the last 10 meetings. The odd that Milan will not lose by yellow cards is offered at 1.83.

Corners
Milan, actively earning corners (6.6 per game) against Genoa, who rarely earns set pieces (3.9). Considering the home field advantage, a bet on the hosts' success in this component suggests itself. Milan's victory in corners is quoted at 1.28.

Team Overview
Milan has significantly slowed down, not winning in 5 consecutive matches across all tournaments, and now injuries have taken their toll. The team from Genoa has every chance to take points from the formidable opponent, and the odd for Genoa not losing is given at 2.74.

Genoa tries to dry out the game away from home, regardless of the opponent. In their last 14 away matches, there has never been more than 3 goals scored. A bet on total less (3.5) can be placed at 1.39.

Editorial Prediction
A poorly motivated and injury-stricken Milan is unlikely to find the strength to thrash the guests from Genoa. Meanwhile, Genoa has not lost by 2 or more goals in 12 consecutive away Serie A matches. The odd for Genoa's win with a handicap (+1.5) is offered at 1.70.

*further down the page, you will find detailed statistics of the playing teams and trends for many other markets