Monza vs Lazio Prediction 4 May 2024

Monza is having a good season, solidifying its status as a mid-table team in Serie A. Lazio, on the other hand, is fighting for European competitions, and considering that Italy now has five spots in the Champions League, they are also aiming to participate in that tournament. The difference in motivation is evident. Therefore, it's not surprising that Monza is not considered a favorite even at their home stadium "Brianteo" - 4.55 against 1.91.

Injuries

In the upcoming match, Galardin will definitely not play for Monza due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Bettella and Machin may take the field after recovering from injuries, but the chances are slim.

For the second month in a row, Lazio's main goalkeeper Provvedel is injured. Recently, defender Ghila also got injured and missed the last round.

Head-to-Head Matches

In direct clashes, Monza has never won. However, the opponents have only met four times. Lazio was stronger twice. Nevertheless, in none of the cases were more than two goals scored. You can bet on Total Goals Under (2.5) with odds of 1.95.

Trends

• Lazio has scored away in 10 out of 11 last Serie A matches.
• Lazio has had less than 4.5 shots on target away in 6 out of 7 last matches.

Referee and Fouls

The referee for the match is Luca Pairetto. In his last 10 matches, he has averaged 24.5 fouls and 4.1 yellow cards. Throughout the season, the referee has shown consistency in the number of warnings - 4.1, but he gives significantly fewer penalties - 22.6.

Monza is a mid-table team not only in the standings but also in the average number of fouls - 12.2. At the same time, they receive 2.4 yellow cards per match.

Lazio commits fewer fouls than their opponents - 11.3. It's not surprising that they also have fewer yellow cards - 2.2.

The referee has been stable throughout the season, showing just over four yellow cards on average. According to statistics, both teams should receive at least two warnings. In such a situation, betting on Yellow Cards - Total Over (3.5) at 1.45 seems reasonable.

Corners

• Total under 10.5 corners has been played in 12 consecutive home matches for Monza.
• Total over 8.5 corners has been played in 8 consecutive away matches for Lazio.
• Monza has had fewer than 3.5 corners in 6 out of 7 last matches.

In terms of corners, the match is unlikely to be intense. However, considering the trends, expecting 8 or 9 corners is quite reasonable. But relying on Monza in this regard is not advisable. Lazio is more likely to succeed. Therefore, Corners - Lazio Total Over (4.5) at 1.64 can be considered.

Team Reviews

Monza hasn't won in five consecutive rounds. Moreover, their attack is not in top form. The team has good conversion rates, considering they have had less than 3.5 shots on target in 6 matches in a row. Betting on Shots on Target - Monza Total Under (3.5) at odds of 1.73 seems reasonable.

Lazio recently changed their coach. This allowed them to win four out of five matches. They only failed to beat Roma in the derby. The team scores few goals but usually does so in the second half, at least in 6 out of the last 7 matches. Betting on 2nd Half - Lazio Total Goals Over (0.5) at odds of 1.55 seems reasonable.

Editor's Prediction

In the match, there are unlikely to be many goals because both teams have a poor tendency in terms of shots on target. For example, Lazio has had less than 4.5 shots on target away in 6 out of 7 last matches. Therefore, we will go with Shots on Target - Lazio Total Under (4.5) at 1.91.

*Further down the page, you will find detailed statistics of the playing teams and trends on many other markets.