Cagliari vs Lecce Prediction 5 May 2024

In the 35th round of Serie A, Cagliari will play against Lecce at “Unipol Domus”. The high density in the lower part of the league table does not allow teams to feel confident about tomorrow, and Cagliari is primarily affected, as a disastrous end of the season could mean relegation to Serie B.

Losses
Three Cagliari players missed the last round due to injuries: midfielders Viola and Jankto, as well as defender Dossena. These losses were one of the reasons for the crushing defeat in the match against Genoa (0:3). In addition, midfielder Mancosu and forward Pavoletti have been in the infirmary for a long time.

Lecce has three players on the injury list. While the long absence of defender Dermaku does not affect the game, more recent losses in the form of midfielder Kaba and forward Banda have hit the attacking potential.

Head-to-head meetings
Over the last 10 face-to-face meetings, Cagliari managed to win 3 times, and Lecce 2. The teams often play draws, which was the outcome in the last 3 confrontations. No matter the outcome of these meetings, Cagliari consistently scores at least one goal against Lecce: this happened in 7 out of 8 previous encounters. The individual total of Cagliari over (1) is offered at odds of 1.53.

Trends

• Cagliari scores and concedes at home in 14 out of the last 15 matches.
• Lecce hasn’t won away in 15 out of the last 17 matches.
• Cagliari scores in the 2nd half at home in 7 out of the last 8 matches.

Referee and fouls
Matteo Marcherano loves to hand out "yellow cards" left and right. With a small average number of fouls over the last 10 matches (22), he gives out 4.4 yellow cards per game.

In matches involving Cagliari, there are plenty of rule violations and cautions – 26.1 fouls and 3.6 yellow cards.

Lecce’s foul stats are slightly more modest, amounting to 25.2 per match, but these games see 3.7 “yellow cards” issued. Based on Marcherano's refereeing style and team statistics, it’s worth betting on total yellow cards over (3.5) at 1.40.

Corners
In this regard, two completely opposite teams met. When Cagliari players are on the field, there are very few corners: just 8.1 per game. But Lecce, on the contrary, does not hesitate to kick the ball over the end line, and actively earns set pieces themselves: this figure totaled 12.1. Nantes has slightly brighter statistics in this aspect – 10.2 corners per game. The total corners over (9.5) is quoted at 1.81.

Team Overview
Cagliari is not yet in trouble, but the situation is extremely tense. The gap from the 18th spot is just 3 points with 4 rounds left in the championship. But it seems like responsibility weighs heavily on the players, and losing two key players only worsened the situation. The odds for Lecce not to lose are given at 1.75.

Lecce has been pleasing in recent rounds, gaining 7 points in 3 matches. This almost guaranteed their stay in Serie A. So, the team can continue to play their football calmly. But still, in attack, this collective is extremely unproductive: in 10 out of 11 last matches, they failed to score more than 1 goal. The individual total of Lecce less (1.5) is offered by bookmakers at 1.34.

Editorial Prediction
Despite not having the highest level of play and constantly being in the lower part of the table, these teams have their trump cards in attack. Both Cagliari and Lecce score with enviable regularity: the former scored in 5 out of the last 6 matches, while the latter – in the last 3. Betting on both teams to score is available at odds of 1.93.

*below on the page you will find detailed statistics of the teams playing and trends for many other markets