PSG vs Dortmund Prediction 7 May 2024

The return game of the Champions League semi-final will take place at the "Parc des Princes" in Paris. PSG had an unsuccessful trip to Dortmund, but by no means lost their chances to advance to the final. Borussia, on the other hand, is in good form, so they are capable of playing with the necessary score. However, PSG is still considered the clear favorite - 1.52 against 7.2.

Losses

PSG has a serious loss in the person of Hernandez, who was injured in Dortmund. Rico is absent, but he is the second goalkeeper. Kimpembe has not recovered in time, so he will not play in the upcoming match.

Borussia will be without Bensebaini and Duranville, however, they are not first-team players. Haller and Adeyemi have health problems, so their participation in the match is questionable.

Head-to-Head Meetings

In the span of five head-to-head matches, each team has two victories. Last week, Borussia Dortmund won at home with a score of 1:0 thanks to a goal from Füllkrug. More goals were expected in the match. However, looking at the last five meetings, in all cases the Total less than 3.5 goals played out, which in the upcoming match is rated with a coefficient of 1.74.

Trends

• PSG scores less than 2.5 goals in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches of these teams.
• PSG scores at home in 24 consecutive matches.
• PSG concedes in 7 consecutive matches.

Referee and Fouls

Daniele Orsato (Italy) is appointed for the match. In his last 10 matches, he has averaged 23.2 fouls, showing 3.8 yellow cards. However, over the season he gives fewer whistles - 21.87, but is stricter with players - 4.73 yellow cards.

PSG averages 11 fouls per match. With such a number of fouls, the team has very few yellow cards - 1.6.

Borussia Dortmund commits fouls less often - 8.4 times. However, their rule violations are more often punished with warnings - 1.8.

Opponents commit very few fouls over the season, especially Borussia Dortmund. True, in the first game, it had more rule violations than PSG. Nevertheless, the total number of fouls reached only 17. Considering the referee's statistics, it makes sense to consider Fouls - Total less (22.5) for 1.75.

Corners

PSG is accustomed to dominating in Ligue 1, therefore, over the season it averages 6.4 corners. Borussia Dortmund does not have such an advantage in Bundesliga, nevertheless, corners are an integral part of their attacking game. The average number of corners for the German team is 5.7. Despite PSG playing at home and trailing in score, it's worth considering a bet on PSG Corners Total less (7.5) for 1.7.

Team Reviews

PSG prematurely became the champion of Ligue 1, which surprised no one. However, the Champions League remains elusive for the French team. Here they face real competition, so their performance drops compared to their season average. Thus, PSG scores less than 2.5 goals in 7 out of their last 8 Champions League matches. A bet on PSG Total goals less (2.5) is rated with a coefficient of 1.66.

Borussia Dortmund is currently fifth in Bundesliga, but this season it qualifies for the Champions League. However, the team also performs excellently in this tournament, exceeding expectations. It's worth noting Borussia's reaction to winning the first match. Last weekend, they fielded a reserve team against Augsburg and won with a score of 5:1. Looking at the Champions League alone, the Germans have played with a handicap of +1.5 in 10 consecutive matches. You can place a bet on Borussia Dortmund Handicap (+1.5) with a coefficient of 1.73.

Editorial Prediction

Borussia Dortmund is in excellent form. They have become more reliable in defense and will surely not fall apart unless there is a force majeure event. Moreover, in five head-to-head matches, Total less than 3.5 has played out. Something similar can be expected in the upcoming meeting. Total goals less (3.5) for 1.74 - our key bet.

*Further down the page you will find detailed statistics of the playing teams and trends for many other markets