Atalanta vs Marseille Prediction 9 May 2024

In the first match held in France, the opponents did not determine the winner (1-1). This clearly benefits Atalanta, which gets the chance to decide the fate of their spot in the Europa League final at their home stadium "Gewiss" in Bergamo. Marseille plays poorly away, so Gasperini’s team is the clear favorite for the upcoming meeting.

Losses

All the host's injuries are related to the defensive line. Holm and Toloi have been injured since April and are rotation players. However, Kolasinac was injured in the first game against Marseille. The Bosnian is among the top three center-backs.

The guests also will not be able to count on three performers. However, Rongier, Meite, and Nadir have been injured for a long time, and the team has gotten used to doing without them.

Head-to-Head

Relying on the statistics of head-to-head confrontations when choosing a bet for the upcoming match is not possible, as the teams played their first official match against each other last week.

Referee and Fouls

The match will be officiated by Jesus Gil Manzano. This season, the Spaniard has refereed 7 European cup matches, showing 26 yellow cards (3.7 on average per game). In 3 out of his last 4 matches, he issued more than 3.5 warnings. The referee actively calls fouls – averaging 23.7 per match.

The current Atalanta is a team that does not shy away from fouls. Gasperini's guys commit significantly more fouls than their opponents (15 fouls to 10.8 respectively). Referees justly apply sanctions to them, issuing an average of 2 yellow cards per match, while the “Bergamasques”' opponents receive significantly fewer warnings – 1.2.

Marseille is the complete opposite of their future opponent. The “Provencals” commit significantly fewer fouls than their opponents (10.9 infractions against 14.8) and try not to play rough, therefore they receive an average of 1.8 yellow cards per match in the current Europa League season. At the same time, their opponents get issued 2.9 “mustards”.

Taking into account the above statistics, one can place a bet on total yellow cards over (4). The teams will not spare each other when a final is at stake.

Team Overview

Gian Piero Gasperini has molded a new version of his Atalanta this season, which has a good chance at a European trophy. The “Bergamasques” have already passed serious opponents such as Sporting and Liverpool and do not intend to stop there. However, the team's style of play is such that they do not insist on possession, which results in earning few corners. In 6 out of their last 7 Europa League matches, “La Dea” has had fewer than 6.5 corners, which is worth considering.

Marseille, on the other hand, performs disgracefully in the national championship but managed to reach the semi-finals of Europe's second most important cup with the efforts of Aubameyang. No matter what difficulties the team faces, it regularly finds ways to the opponent's goal. The “Provencals” failed to score in only 1 out of 13 matches of this Europa League campaign, and that was during the group stage. Thus, betting on a goal by the guests is appealing.

Editorial Prediction

Atalanta, like Marseille, only once left the field without scoring – in the return game against Liverpool when that goal was not needed by them. Considering the high motivation of both teams and their goal-scoring stability, a logical bet seems to be both to score (yes). This is our final choice.

*detailed statistics of the playing teams and trends on many other markets await you further down the page