Roma vs Milan Prediction 18 April 2024

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Match Preview

Milan, having reached the ½ of the Champions League last year, is now aiming to make it to the semi-finals of the Europa League, where the chances of winning the trophy will be much higher. However, the "Rossoneri" are heading to the "Stadio Olimpico" in Rome after a defeat at home. Therefore, Roma, which has gained European experience over the last couple of seasons by reaching two finals, is considered the favorite of the pair.

Roma's infirmary lists two players, but there are no critical losses – the absence of Ndika and Azmoun will not significantly impact the "wolves". However, Cristante's absence due to an accumulation of yellow cards is a significant loss. Milan will be without two players – Pobega and Kalulu. The Italian has been injured since December, and the Frenchman has hardly played this season due to constant injuries. The absence of both will not pose major problems for the "Rossoneri".

Referee statistics. The match will be officiated by Szymon Marciniak. In his last ten matches, the Pole issued fewer than six yellow cards and not a single red card. The average number of fouls over the last 10 matches is 25, and over the last 100 – 26.

In matches involving Roma, an average of 23.4 fouls are committed, 12.2 of which are by the Romans themselves. Milan has a modest figure – 22 fouls per game, with 11.2 attributed to the "Rossoneri" themselves. Logically, Roma leads in yellow cards as well, averaging 2.5 "mustards", while Milan averages 2.2. Considering the statistics, one could bet on total cards under 6.5 at 1.5.

The opponents play in the same league, so they regularly encounter each other. Based on the statistics of personal meetings, a top sure bet can be found. Roma hasn't won at home in 6 out of the last 7 head-to-head meetings with these teams – the bet Milan will not lose is valued at an odds of 1.48.

Under De Rossi, Roma remains a serious opponent for any team, as proven match by match. The Romans continue to score a lot from corners, but they have significantly decreased in earning them. Roma takes fewer than 4.5 corners in 6 consecutive matches – a strong trend, from which one can bet on Roma's total corners under (4.5) at 1.57.

Milan lost at home, so they should play riskily away, with a clear focus on attack.During the analysis of the match, we found an exciting statistical indicator – Milan scores more than 1.5 goals away in 14 out of the last 15 matches. A bet on Milan's total goals over (1.5) is valued at a juicy odds of 2.36.

Having studied all the key aspects of the upcoming meeting, we concluded that the optimal option for placing a bet is shots on target - Milan total over(4.5) at 1.6.

Personal meetings of the opponents

📊To understand the possible outcomes of the match, let's turn to the history of head-to-head meetings. Officially, the clubs have played in 34 match, where today's home team won 11, and the guests have accumulated 12 victories.

⚽The numbers for goals scored are as follows:

For the Roma team – 48;
For the Milan club – 47.

🏁Regarding the last match, it took place on 14 January 2024 at the Milan team's field and ended with a score of 3:1.

Roma Review

✅Amidst the sounds of fans and the rich aroma of the grass, today's home team will take to the field in a rather challenging confrontation. It's a great time to showcase their strength and resilience.

📊The last 10 matches have shown that team Roma has achieved 7 victories, ended 2 games in a draw, and suffered 1 defeats.

⚽Shifting focus to goals, the figures for a similar period are as follows:

The average number of goals scored stands at 1.7;
The average number of goals at home in the last 10 matches is 2;
The average number of goals conceded is 0.7.

❕The team is focused on victory and ready to deliver a phenomenal game in front of their audience. Attention on the field is drawn to the midfield line, tasked with strengthening the center of the field and ensuring more confident ball possession.

Milan Review

🏆In the context of the upcoming game, we will see a decent lineup from the visitors. Overall, the tournament goals are serious, but whether they can be achieved remains an open question.

📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Milan gifted its fans with 7 victories, played to a draw 1 times, and finished 2 games with a defeat.

⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:

total number of goals – 22;
average goals scored – 2.2;
average goals conceded – 1.3.

✅Roma (), Milan () - these are the odds for today's competitors provided by the bookmakers. It will be very interesting to watch the course of the meeting, but considering our experience and the statistics mentioned above, we still prefer the bet 'Shots on Target - Milan Total Over(4.5)' as the most promising due to its high odds and good chances of winning.