Surface:

Red clay

Round:

Final

04.05.24

16:30

WTA - 1

Ended

WTA - 2

Review

Prediction

Swiatek vs Sabalenka Prediction 4 May 2024

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Iga Swiatek

Aryna Sabalenka

7⁹

6⁷

Match Preview

This duel of the decisive stage of the Madrid Masters between Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka captures the attention of the wide audience, and our prediction perfectly complements the already magnificent billboard. Interestingly, a year earlier, the girls crossed paths in the current competitions also in the final: then the Belarusian proved stronger in three sets. So, it's too early to agree with the sportbooks' odds.

Swiatek continues to torment her competitors, time and again confirming her status as the main dominating figure of the tour. Iga always focuses on clay at Roland Garros (3 titles), but other competitions are of colossal significance too. On these courts, the Pole dealt with five competitors in just seven and a half hours, "hanging a bagel" on Beatriz Haddad and Sara Sorribes Tormo. The athlete's playing style still matches best with clay. Although she has also won two trophies on hard courts this season (Indian Wells and Doha).

Sabalenka, in turn, celebrated triumph in the Spanish capital twice, as adapting to conditions does not cause huge problems. Aryna experienced a slight decline after the death of her former boyfriend, but after a couple of defeats, she bounced back. Yesterday, the representative from Belarus won a crazy thriller against Elena Rybakina, managing to come back from a score of 1-6; 1-3. However, the tennis player's serve remains unstable (10 breaks and 19 double faults in the tournament), which raises some concerns.

Personal meetings of the opponents

🎾Check out the prediction for Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka and get acquainted with the details of the match. Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka have played 11 matches over their entire careers: 7 has won Iga Swiatek, and 4 has won Aryna Sabalenka matches.

📈These teams last met on 23 December 2023 within the tournament World Tennis League, Aryna Sabalenka won with a score of 0:1 (4:6).

📊On average, their matches take place over 2.3 sets and 19.5 games. As an average, the team Iga Swiatek wins 1.9 sets and 11.4 games, while Aryna Sabalenka is stronger in 0.6 sets and 8.1 games.

Iga Swiatek: player overview

🎾This player's past 10 matches finished in 9 victories and 1 defeats. The player won the first set 8 times, whereas 2 times his opponent was triumphant.

📈The statistics for games show 18.8 played in the last 10 matches with 12.5 wins and 5.6 calculated by the number of first games won thus far.

📊Don't overlook the amount of 2-0 and 2-1 victories and defeats in the past 10 matches.

The number of winning matches:

2-0 - 8 matches with a win percentage of 88.9%;
2-1 - 1 wins with 11.1% as a win percentage.

The number of lost matches:

2-0 - 0 matches with a lost percentage of 0%;
2-1 - 1 matches with a 100% lost percentage.

🎾The player’s form over 365 days:

This player played 86 matches over the past 365 days. The stats show 75 wins, 11 losses and the win percentage is 87.2%. The wins in the first set is 70 times and lost it 16 times with a win percentage of 81.4%.

📈The number of games played over the past 86 matches is 19.1 games with 5.7 wins in the first game alone.

📊Number of winning matches:

2-0 - 63 wins with a win percentage of 84;
2-1 - 11 wins with percentage of 14.7%.

Amount of lost matches:

2-0 - 2 losses with 18.2% as a loss percentage;
2-1 - 8 losses with a percentage of 72.7%.

In other matches the score was other.

Aryna Sabalenka: player overview

Player statistics over the last 10 matches: 7 victories and 3 defeats. Over their last ten matches, they won the first set 6 times, but lost it 4 times.

In terms of games, statistics show 25.6 played over the past 10 matches with 13.7 in overall wins and 4.8 wins in the first game.

The amount of 2-0 and 2-1 victories and defeats across the past 10 matches:

The number of winning matches:

2-0 - 3 matches with a win percentage of 42.9%.
2-1 - 4 wins with 57.1% as a win percentage.

The number of lost matches:

2-0 - 0 matches with a lost percentage of 0%.
2-1 - 3 matches with a 100% lose percentage.

The player’s form over 365 days:

This player played 66 matches over the past 365 days. The stats show 50 wins, 16 losses and the win percentage is 75.8%. The wins in the first set is 50 times and lost it 16 times with a win percentage of 75.8%.

The number of games played over the past 66 matches is 20.7 games with 5.5 wins in the first game alone.

Number of winning matches:

2-0 - 37 wins with a win percentage of 74;
2-1 - 10 wins with percentage of 20%.

Amount of lost matches:

2-0 - 6 losses with 37.5% as a loss percentage;
2-1 - 9 losses with a percentage of 56.3%.

In other matches the score was other.

In this match, Sabalenka is likely to make Świątek sweat quite a bit. Aryna definitely does not want to lose precious points, and we believe she will give Iga a worthy challenge. A victory for the world's second racket with a handicap of +1.5 sets is our choice for the match.