Surface:

Red clay

Round:

Final

05.05.24

16:30

ATP - 29

Ended

ATP - 5

Review

Prediction

Auger Aliassime vs Rublev Prediction 5 May 2024

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Felix Auger Aliassime

Andrey Rublev

Match Preview

In this final duel of the Masters in Madrid, tennis players with different playing styles, Felix Auger-Aliassime and Andrey Rublev, will clash, and our prediction, obviously, takes this nuance into account. Will the North American win his first Masters 1000 in his career after an incredible series of miracles? Sportbooks tend to think not. We, in turn, do not rule out any scenarios.

The withdrawal of Jannik Sinner and two walkovers are the main reasons why Auger advanced easily through his part of the draw. Although he himself demonstrated very high-quality tennis. In the battle with Casper Ruud, for example, Felix did a great job holding his serve (1 break) and also did not overdo it with aggression in the rallies (13 unforced errors). The past season was bad for the Canadian (1 cup), but after dropping out of the top-30 world ranking, he reconsidered a lot. Moreover, the athlete stopped being bothered by injuries, which also led to a significant improvement in results.

Rublev, in turn, has noticeably improved in terms of stress resistance, which in itself is a phenomenal breakthrough. Andrey still often lets his emotions run free, but it does not lead to full breakdowns. In the capital of Spain, the Russian won five matches, giving away a set only to Carlos Alcaraz. In recent interviews, the athlete did not look tired. Therefore, further progress seems inevitable.

Personal meetings of the opponents

🎾Read the prediction for Felix Auger Aliassime - Andrey Rublev to learn more about the match. Felix Auger Aliassime and Andrey Rublev have contested 5 matches throughout their careers. Felix Auger Aliassime has won 1 matches, while Andrey Rublev has won 4.

📈The most recent match was ATP Rotterdam which took place on 14 February 2024, in which Andrey Rublev triumphed, and the results were as follows: 1:2 (6:3; 6:7; 5:7).

📊Examining the average number of sets and games played in a match and the number of victories for these players will also be essential. Thus, the quantity of sets is 2.8, the number of games is 31.6. Player Felix Auger Aliassime wins 0.8 sets and 15.4 games. In contrast, Andrey Rublev has a lead of 0.9 sets and 16.2 games.

Felix Auger Aliassime: player overview

🎾The previous 10 matches for this participant ended in 7 victories and 3.In the first set, he won 5 times while 5 times, his opponent emerged victorious.

📈Over the same 10 matches, an average score of 22.2 was achieved. 12.2 was the average number of games won in a match and 5.2 was the number of wins in the first game.

📊Also, make sure to consider the number of wins and losses with a score of 2-0 and 2-1 over the past 10 matches.

The number of winning matches:

2-0 - 5 matches with a win percentage of 71.4%.
2-1 - 2 wins with 28.6% as a win percentage.

The number of lost matches:

2-0 - 3 matches with a lost percentage of 100%.
2-1 - 0 matches with a lost percentage of 0%.

🎾The player's statistics for 365 days:

Over the past 365 days, the player played 46 matches. The number of wins was 25 while the number of losses amounted to 21. The percentage of wins is 54.4%. In the first set, they managed to win 25 times but lost 21 times and the percentage of wins is 54.4%.

📈The amount of games played over the past 46 matches is 25.3. Winning an average of 13 games and 5.4 in the first game.

📊An interesting statistic is the amount of 2-0 and 2-1 triumphs and losses over the previous 365 days.

Amount of winning matches:

2-0 - 17 wins with a win percentage of 68%;
2-1 - 6 wins with percentage of 24%.

Amount of lost matches:

2-0 - 12 losses with 57.1% as a loss percentage;
2-1 - 5 losses with a loss percentage of 23.8%.

In other matches the score was other.

Andrey Rublev: player overview

This player's past 10 matches finished in 6 victories and 4 defeats. The player won the first set 5 times, whereas 5 times his opponent was triumphant.

The statistics for games show 20.7 played in the last 10 matches with 11.2 wins and 5.2 calculated by the number of first games won thus far.

Don't overlook the amount of 2-0 and 2-1 victories and defeats in the past 10 matches.

The number of winning matches:

2-0 - 5 matches with a win percentage of 83.3%;
2-1 - 1 wins with 16.7% as a win percentage.

The number of lost matches:

2-0 - 4 matches with a lost percentage of 100%;
2-1 - 0 matches with a 0% lost percentage.

The player's statistics for 365 days:

Over the past 365 days, the player played 77 matches. The number of wins was 53 while the number of losses amounted to 24. The percentage of wins is 68.8%. In the first set, they managed to win 47 times but lost 30 times and the percentage of wins is 61%.

The amount of games played over the past 77 matches is 26.8. Winning an average of 14.6 games and 5.5 in the first game.

An interesting statistic is the amount of 2-0 and 2-1 triumphs and losses over the previous 365 days.

Amount of winning matches:

2-0 - 26 wins with a win percentage of 49.1%;
2-1 - 12 wins with percentage of 22.6%.

Amount of lost matches:

2-0 - 12 losses with 50% as a loss percentage;
2-1 - 7 losses with a loss percentage of 29.2%.

In other matches the score was other.

Well, in this meeting, Rublev, in our opinion, looks much more preferable than Auger. Andrey has always felt significantly better on clay courts, and we believe that in crucial situations, he will be slightly more agile than the tenacious Felix. A victory for the Russian representative with a handicap of -2.5 is the preferred option for the match.